Objectives: Load forecasting is an operation of predicting the future of load demands in electrical systems using previous or historical data. This paper reports the study on a medium-term load forecast carried out with load demand data... more
Objectives: Load forecasting is an operation of predicting the future of load demands in electrical systems using previous or historical data. This paper reports the study on a medium-term load forecast carried out with load demand data set obtained from Covenant University campus in Nigeria and carry out comparative study of the two methods used in this paper. Methods/Statistical analysis: The regression analysis and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were used to show the feasibility of generating an accurate medium-term load forecast for the case study despite the peculiarity of its load data. The statistical evaluation methods used are Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and root mean square error. Findings: The results from the comparative study show that the ANN model is a superior method for load forecast
due to its ability to handle the load data and it has lower MAPE and RMSE of 0.0285 and 1.124 respectively which is far better result than the regression model. Application/Improvements: This result provides a benchmark for power system planning and future studies in this research domain.
due to its ability to handle the load data and it has lower MAPE and RMSE of 0.0285 and 1.124 respectively which is far better result than the regression model. Application/Improvements: This result provides a benchmark for power system planning and future studies in this research domain.
Research Interests:
Line losses in transmission lines constitute one of the major problems affecting power generation and distribution systems. Losses have been found to affect the overall efficiency of a system. Therefore, to increase the efficiency of any... more
Line losses in transmission lines constitute one of the major problems affecting power generation and distribution systems. Losses have been found to affect the overall efficiency of a system. Therefore, to increase the efficiency of any system, losses must be minimized. This paper carried out a comprehensive study and analysis of line losses associated with Nigeria 330-kV power transmission lines. The work includes the power-flow analysis carried out on the existing network using both the Newton-Raphson (N-R)written in code-based MATLAB and the model-based N-R in Power World Simulator (PWS) environment. The power-flow analysis was further subjected to contingency analysis and simulation using the N-R in PWS. Two load-flows were performed to reveal voltage violated buses.The results showed that the bus voltages outside the statutory limit of 0.95 – 1.05p.u(i.e 313.5 – 346.5kV) occurred at buses2-Birnin-Kebbi (0.9183pu), bus 9 Akangba (0.937pu), bus 18-Onitsha (0.935pu), bus 20-New-Haven (0.920pu), bus 25-Kaduna (0.9233pu), bus 26-Kano (0.776pu), bus 22-Jos (0.8192pu) and bus 28-Gombe (0.7247pu) under normal uncompensated condition. Capacitive shunt compensation was applied on these buses and the results recorded appreciable loss reduction (about 18.35%). The result of the single line contingency analysis for uncompensated and compensated indicates a total of 335 and 25 voltage bus violations respectively.
Research Interests:
A distribution grid is generally characterized by a high R/X (resistance/reactance) ratio and it is radial in nature. By design, a distribution grid system is not an active network, and it is normally designed in such a way that power... more
A distribution grid is generally characterized by a high R/X (resistance/reactance) ratio and it is radial in nature. By design,
a distribution grid system is not an active network, and it is normally designed in such a way that power flows from transmission system via distribution system to consumers. But in a situation when wind turbines are connected to the distribution grid, the power source will change from one source to two sources, in this case, network is said to be active. This may probably have an impact on the distribution grid to whenever the wind turbine is connected. The best way to know the impact of wind turbine on the distribution grid in question is by carrying out load flow analysis on that system with and without the connection of wind turbines. Two major
fundamental calculations: the steady-state voltage variation at the PCC (point of common coupling) and the calculation of
short-circuit power of the grid system at the POC (point of connection) are necessary before carrying out the load flow study on the distribution grid. This paper, therefore, considers these pre-load flow calculations that are necessary before carrying out load flow study on the test distribution grid. These calculations are carried out on a test distribution system.
a distribution grid system is not an active network, and it is normally designed in such a way that power flows from transmission system via distribution system to consumers. But in a situation when wind turbines are connected to the distribution grid, the power source will change from one source to two sources, in this case, network is said to be active. This may probably have an impact on the distribution grid to whenever the wind turbine is connected. The best way to know the impact of wind turbine on the distribution grid in question is by carrying out load flow analysis on that system with and without the connection of wind turbines. Two major
fundamental calculations: the steady-state voltage variation at the PCC (point of common coupling) and the calculation of
short-circuit power of the grid system at the POC (point of connection) are necessary before carrying out the load flow study on the distribution grid. This paper, therefore, considers these pre-load flow calculations that are necessary before carrying out load flow study on the test distribution grid. These calculations are carried out on a test distribution system.
Research Interests:
Abstract— The subject of control system design has evolved considerably over the years. Although several design techniques and strategies have been adopted to realize control systems that meet a predetermined set of performance... more
Abstract— The subject of control system design has evolved
considerably over the years. Although several design techniques and strategies have been adopted to realize control systems that meet a predetermined set of performance criteria, the
fundamental problem remains that of developing controllers to
adjust the performance characteristics of a dynamic system in
order to obtain a desired output behavior. The dynamic behavior of a magnetic levitation system (MLS) of a ferromagnetic ball is compensated in this paper. Consolidating the exposure of undergraduate students to the rudiments of control system design, the paper employs the classical root locus technique to stabilize the system. A combination of analytical and software based methods is used to design proportional-derivative and phase -lead compensators based on the linearized model of the
system. Complete details of the design approach, from modeling and analysis of the plant to computing the values of the controller parameters, are shown. MATLAB scripts for plotting root loci and simulating the system are provided.
considerably over the years. Although several design techniques and strategies have been adopted to realize control systems that meet a predetermined set of performance criteria, the
fundamental problem remains that of developing controllers to
adjust the performance characteristics of a dynamic system in
order to obtain a desired output behavior. The dynamic behavior of a magnetic levitation system (MLS) of a ferromagnetic ball is compensated in this paper. Consolidating the exposure of undergraduate students to the rudiments of control system design, the paper employs the classical root locus technique to stabilize the system. A combination of analytical and software based methods is used to design proportional-derivative and phase -lead compensators based on the linearized model of the
system. Complete details of the design approach, from modeling and analysis of the plant to computing the values of the controller parameters, are shown. MATLAB scripts for plotting root loci and simulating the system are provided.
